UN Maritime Chief’s Visit to Egypt: Addressing the Suez Canal Crisis
In a critical diplomatic mission, Arsenio Dominguez, the Secretary-General of the International Maritime Organization (IMO), is set to visit Egypt in response to the alarming 70% drop in Suez Canal freight traffic.
This visit comes at a time of significant geopolitical tensions and economic challenges that are reshaping global maritime trade.
Let’s delve into the details of this crucial visit, the causes behind the dramatic decline in canal traffic, and its far-reaching consequences.
The UN Maritime Chief’s Mission
Arsenio Dominguez, who assumed the role of IMO Secretary-General on January 1, 2024, is embarking on this high-stakes visit to Egypt with a clear set of objectives.
Dominguez oversees a comprehensive regulatory framework for shipping that encompasses maritime safety, environmental concerns, legal matters, technical cooperation, maritime security, and shipping efficiency.
The primary focus of Dominguez’s visit is to address the significant disruptions in the Suez Canal caused by Houthi attacks in the Red Sea.
These attacks have led to a dramatic 70% reduction in freight traffic through the canal, a critical artery for global trade between Europe and Asia.
During his visit, Dominguez aims to engage with Egyptian officials on several pressing issues:
- The impact of Houthi attacks on international maritime movement.
- The economic repercussions for Egypt, which heavily relies on the Suez Canal as a major source of foreign currency.
- The fate of 25 seafarers aboard the Galaxy Leader, a car carrier hijacked by the Houthis in November 2023.
In addition to these discussions, Dominguez is expected to inaugurate a new IMO office in Alexandria, located within the Egyptian Authority for Maritime Safety at the Port of Alexandria.
This office is intended to enhance the IMO’s presence and coordination efforts in the Middle East and North Africa.
The Suez Canal: A Vital Artery of Global Trade
To understand the gravity of the current situation, it’s essential to recognize the Suez Canal’s critical role in global trade.
The canal serves as a major maritime passage connecting the Mediterranean Sea to the Red Sea, providing the shortest sea route between Europe and Asia.
This strategic location makes it one of the most significant trade chokepoints in the world.
Under normal circumstances, the Suez Canal handles approximately 10-12% of the world’s trade by volume, including about 30% of global container traffic.
It is also crucial for energy transport, with an estimated 9% of global oil trade flowing through the canal.
The canal’s efficiency in reducing travel time translates into considerable savings in time and fuel costs for shipping companies, making it an economically advantageous route.
In terms of traffic volume, the Suez Canal typically processes about 50 to 60 ships per day, underscoring its critical role in facilitating international trade and maintaining the flow of goods between continents.
In 2023, the canal generated approximately $9.4 billion in revenue for Egypt, highlighting its economic significance to the country.
The 70% Fall in Suez Canal Freight Traffic: Causes and Timeframe
The dramatic decline in Suez Canal traffic began in late 2023 and has persisted into early 2025.
By mid-October 2024, the average daily transits through the canal had dropped significantly, with a 70% reduction in freight traffic reported. This decline can be attributed to several interconnected factors:
Houthi Attacks in the Red Sea:
The primary cause of the decline is the series of attacks by Houthi rebels in the Red Sea. These attacks, which include missile and drone assaults on commercial vessels, have led to significant disruptions in shipping routes.
The Houthis claim these actions are in solidarity with Palestinians in the Israel-Hamas conflict.
Rerouting of Shipping Traffic:
Due to the security threats posed by the Houthi attacks, many shipping companies have opted to reroute their vessels around the Cape of Good Hope, avoiding the Red Sea and the Suez Canal altogether.
This detour significantly increases the distance and cost of shipping.
Geopolitical Tensions:
The broader geopolitical instability in the Middle East, including the fall of the Assad regime in Syria and the withdrawal of Russian forces from regional ports, has added to the uncertainty and risk associated with navigating the Suez Canal.
Economic Impact on Egypt and Global Trade
The reduction in Suez Canal traffic has severe economic implications for both Egypt and global trade:
Impact on Egypt
Revenue Loss:
The Suez Canal is a critical source of foreign currency for Egypt. The diversion of ships has led to a substantial drop in canal revenues, with reports indicating a 40% decrease in early January 2024 compared to the previous year.
This decline exacerbates Egypt’s existing economic challenges, including a severe foreign currency shortage.
Economic Strain:
The reduced traffic has compounded Egypt’s economic troubles, which are already strained by regional conflicts and internal economic policies.
The country faces high inflation rates, with food prices increasing significantly due to disruptions in global supply chains.
Tourism and Other Sectors:
The ongoing regional instability, including the Gaza conflict, has also negatively impacted Egypt’s tourism sector, another major source of foreign currency.
Additionally, the housing market and public services are under pressure due to the influx of refugees from neighboring conflicts.
Impact on Global Trade
Shipping Delays and Costs:
The Red Sea shipping crisis has led to significant disruptions in global trade routes.
With major shipping companies rerouting vessels around the Cape of Good Hope, transit times have increased by 30% to 50%, leading to higher shipping costs.
This has resulted in a 9% reduction in effective global container shipping capacity.
Inflationary Pressures:
The increased shipping costs are likely to pass through to consumer prices, potentially rekindling inflation concerns globally. J.P. Morgan estimates that the disruptions could add 0.7 percentage points to global core goods inflation during the first half of 2024.
Supply Chain Disruptions:
The crisis has particularly affected the automotive industry, with Europe-based auto plants experiencing production shutdowns due to delays in obtaining parts from Asia.
The rerouting of ships has also led to a significant increase in ocean spot rates, affecting trade routes from Asia to Europe and the U.S.
Global Trade Volume:
The reduction in traffic has led to a 45% drop in freight tonnage, significantly impacting global trade volumes. This disruption is one of the largest diversions of international trade in decades.
In Summary,
The UN maritime chief’s visit to Egypt comes at a critical juncture for global maritime trade. The 70% drop in Suez Canal freight traffic, primarily caused by Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, has far-reaching consequences for both Egypt’s economy and global trade patterns.
As Arsenio Dominguez engages with Egyptian officials and regional stakeholders, the international community watches closely, hoping for solutions that can restore stability to this vital maritime route and mitigate the economic fallout.
The situation underscores the vulnerability of global trade routes to regional conflicts and highlights the need for international cooperation to ensure the security of critical maritime corridors.
Found this article interesting, and useful? Please feel free to interact, recommend and share.
If you have any questions about this topic or would like to discuss your own business needs, please contact us today!
UN Maritime Chief’s Visit to Egypt: Addressing the Suez Canal Crisis Read More »